In a striking forecast, Tourism Economics warns that international travel to the U.S. may plummet by 9.4% this year, nearly doubling earlier predictions of a 5% decline. Adam Sacks, the president, suggests that anger stemming from the Trump administration’s tariffs and confrontational diplomacy is playing a key role in this downturn.
Initially, 2024 appeared to promise a surge in tourism, predicted to rise by 9%, but recent incidents have dampened optimism. Reports of European tourists being detained at the U.S. border have cooled the enthusiasm of potential visitors, who are increasingly frustrated by tariffs and Trump’s provocative discussions regarding Canada and Ukraine.
The ripple effects of this predicted decline will severely impact the travel industry, including airlines, hotels, and national parks. For instance, travel from Canada is anticipated to drop by a staggering 20%, with bordering states like New York and Michigan poised to bear the brunt, alongside major tourist hubs like California and Florida.
The U.S. Travel Association also highlights the importance of Canadian tourists, estimating that even a modest 10% decrease in their visits could result in 2 million fewer arrivals and a staggering loss of $2.1 billion in economic activity, jeopardising around 14,000 jobs.
Adding to the growing concerns, Air Canada has reported a notable 10% drop in U.S. bookings for the upcoming months compared to last year. Sacks expresses that the tourism landscape is shifting, predicting foreign visitors will spend around $9 billion less than in previous years, with recovery to pre-pandemic levels delayed until 2029.
Tourism Economics forecasts a 9.4% decline in international visitors to the U.S. this year, nearly double previous predictions. Factors contributing to this downturn include tariffs and confrontational policies from the Trump administration, deterring potential tourists. The decline is expected to significantly impact states like Michigan and New York, with a notable loss in Canadian visitors. The overall spending and job prospects in the tourism sector are at risk as recovery timelines extend.
The current climate poses significant challenges for U.S. tourism, with international visitor numbers expected to fall sharply due to factors tied to the Trump administration. This decline could have far-reaching implications for businesses and local economies, particularly in states reliant on tourism from Canada. As forecasts grow more pessimistic, the path to recovery for international travel may remain distant for years to come.
Original Source: www.mlive.com
