The New York Times recently reported on the demographic decline in former East Germany, noting that a mass exodus of young, educated individuals, particularly women, is leaving behind a population grappling with despair and frustration. This discontent has notably led to an uptick in support for the far-right Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), drawing endorsements from figures like Elon Musk and JD Vance.
This unsettling trend of divergence isn’t limited to East Germany. Across advanced nations, including the United States, similar regional disparities have emerged, a phenomenon I previously discussed in my newsletter, “The Political Rage of Left-Behind Regions,” comparing the plight of East Germany with that of West Virginia.
Interestingly, this trend towards divergence is relatively new; prior to 1980, poorer regions were narrowing the economic gap with wealthier areas. Regions such as East Germany, the eastern United States, northern England, rural France, and Korean areas outside Seoul found themselves increasingly left behind in the subsequent decades.
Research shows that various factors have contributed to this reversal of fortunes in economic geography. As a former specialist in this sector, I propose to explore:
1. The dynamics of why economic activities cluster or disperse.
2. The historical factors leading to convergence in the early 20th century, and the divergence since the 1980s.
3. The social and political fallout from being abandoned by economic progress.
4. Potential strategies to assist these left-behind regions.
The article examines the demographic and economic downturn in regions like former East Germany and the United States, illustrating how young, educated individuals are leaving, leading to increased support for extremist political parties. This trend follows a historical pattern of divergence since the 1980s, reversing earlier regional convergence. Understanding these shifts sheds light on the socio-political consequences and potential paths forward for recovery in left-behind areas.
The stark realities of regional economic divergence reflect a growing chasm where once there was unity. This pattern not only fosters economic disparity but also fuels political unrest, exemplified by the rise of extremist views in affected areas. By understanding the historical shifts and exploring solutions, we hold the potential to address the challenges faced by these neglected regions, helping to bridge the divide towards a more balanced future.
Original Source: substack.com
