The US-Japan alliance was initially buoyed by a successful recent summit, giving Tokyo a sense of reassurance amid concerns over Donald Trump’s potential return to the presidency. However, a series of harsh tariffs, including a proposed 25% on car exports, have shaken this confidence, casting shadows over a partnership established over 60 years. Despite a temporary 90-day suspension of reciprocal tariffs, the fluctuating policies hinder stability between the nations.
With Japan grappling with economic strain, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba announced ambitious plans to boost investments in the US to US$1 trillion during his visit. Trump’s encouragement of Japanese investments in American energy projects—like the massive US$44 billion Alaskan LNG pipeline—reflects a growing economic partnership despite looming challenges. Japan’s defence budget is also under pressure, with calls for it to rise to 2% of GDP by 2027, though Trump allies have suggested even higher spending.
Moreover, upcoming negotiations following the previous administration hint at the US pushing Japan to significantly increase its financial contribution to support American military presence in the region. Concurrently, amidst rising tensions with China, Japan is revamping its defence strategy, diverging from its historically restrictive post-war security policies in response to regional threats like Chinese aggressiveness around its southwestern territories.
The US-Japan partnership, initially strong after a recent summit, is threatened by harsh tariffs proposed by Trump, shaking Tokyo’s confidence. Despite plans to boost investment and increase defence spending, Japan faces economic pressure and rising demands for burden-sharing with the US. Upcoming negotiations will determine the future of this crucial alliance, particularly amid escalating regional tensions with China.
The relationship between the US and Japan faces unprecedented challenges primarily due to Trump’s strict tariff measures, which undermine the confidence built in their alliance. Japan’s intended economic contributions and reformed defence strategies indicate its commitment to the partnership, albeit under pressure. As both nations navigate these turbulent waters, the stability of their long-standing security partnership hangs in the balance, necessitating careful negotiation and collaboration.
Original Source: www.scmp.com